UK Summer 2023 Ozone

UK-wide elevated ozone in June and September 2023


Authors

Jack Davison

Approved by

Paul Willis

Customer

Defra

Compilation Date

October 17, 2023

Copyright

Ricardo Energy & Environment

EULA
Ricardo EULA

Contact

Jack Davison at jack.davison@ricardo.com.

Using this document

This is an interactive document produced using Quarto, an open-source scientific publishing system. As well as providing a traditional report narrative, many of the elements within this document can be interacted with in a similar way to a data dashboard. For example, plots can show tooltips and maps can be zoomed and panned around. More specific instruction can be found near interactive elements by hovering over tooltips like the one in this box below.

Tooltip

1 Introduction

1.1 Purpose

Throughout summer 2023, the United Kingdom experienced elevated ozone concentrations due to dry, sunny weather and light wind. Four Air Quality Information Bulletins were published within 5 days in June due to four sites - Bournemouth (BORN), Canterbury (CANT), Lullington Heath (LH), and St Osyth (OSY) - in the UK Automatic Urban and Rural Monitoring Network (AURN) exceeding the UK ozone public information threshold of 180 𝜇g m-3 (1 hour mean O3) (“UK AIR News” 2023). In September of the same year, two additional bulletins were published relating to exceedences from four more sites - London Bloomsbury (CLL2), London Harlington (HRL), Reading New Town (REA1), and Sibton (SIB). These are illustrated in Figure 1, which begins centred on the June episode.

“UK AIR News.” 2023. Defra. https://uk-air.defra.gov.uk/news.

Interactive Timelines

Figure 1: The subjects of the air quality information bulletins in June and September 2023. Each marker indicates the concentration which breached the public information threshold of 180 𝜇g m-3.

This report more closely examines O3 concentrations across the whole of the AURN across summer 2023. The evolution of the O3 episode is examined by referencing each site’s daily air quality index (DAQI). In addition, measured concentrations are used to examine specific points of interest, including the effects of meteorology, variation across UK region, and closer assessment of the sites flagged in the UK-AIR bulletins. Arriving air masses will also be briefly examined.

1.2 Data

In 2023, the AURN included 90 sites measuring O3, 60 of which are urban background and 20 of which are rural background, with the remaining 10 being a mixture of suburban, traffic and industrial sites.

Figure 2 shows a map of all of these AURN sites which measure ozone in 2023. Links to each of their respective UK-AIR site information pages are included in each marker popup. The eight sites featured in the UK-AIR bulletins are shown in orange, and are all found in the South-East of England, many of them on the South-East coast.

Interactive Maps

Figure 2: A map showing all sites in the AURN which measure O3 in 2023. The eight sites featured in the UK-AIR Bulletins are highlighted in orange.

2 Daily Air Quality Index (DAQI)

2.1 What is the DAQI?

The Daily Air Quality Index (DAQI) tells you about levels of air pollution and provides recommended actions and health advice. The index is numbered 1-10, low (1) to very high (10), and divided into four bands to provide detail about air pollution levels in a simple way, similar to the sun index or pollen index (“What Is the Daily Air Quality Index?” 2023).

“What Is the Daily Air Quality Index?” 2023. Defra. https://uk-air.defra.gov.uk/air-pollution/daqi.

Tabsets

Table 1:

Defra DAQI boundaries for particulate matter. Boundaries are based on daily mean concentrations for NO2 and PM, and 8-hour mean concentrations for O3.

Band DAQI O3 NO2 PM2.5 PM10
Low 1

0 – 33

0 – 67

0 – 11

0 – 16

2

34 – 66

68 – 134

12 – 23

17 – 33

3

67 – 100

135 – 200

24 – 35

34 – 50

Moderate 4

101 – 120

201 – 267

36 – 41

51 – 58

5

121 – 140

268 – 334

42 – 47

59 – 66

6

141 – 160

335 – 400

48 – 53

67 – 75

High 7

161 – 187

401 – 467

54 – 58

76 – 83

8

188 – 213

468 – 534

59 – 64

84 – 91

9

214 – 240

535 – 600

65 – 70

92 – 100

Very High 10

241+

601+

71+

101+

Table 2:

Suggested actions and health advice at different DAQI boundaries.

AP Band Accompanying Health Messages
at-risk individuals the general population
Low (1-3) Enjoy your usual outdoor activities. Enjoy your usual outdoor activities.
Moderate (4-6) Adults and children with lung problems, and adults with heart problems, who experience symptoms, should consider reducing strenuous physical activity, particularly outdoors. Enjoy your usual outdoor activities.
High (7-9) Adults and children with lung problems, and adults with heart problems, should reduce strenuous physical exertion, particularly outdoors, and particularly if they experience symptoms. People with asthma may find they need to use their reliever inhaler more often. Older people should also reduce physical exertion. Anyone experiencing discomfort such as sore eyes, cough or sore throat should consider reducing activity, particularly outdoors.
Very High (10) Adults and children with lung problems, adults with heart problems, and older people, should avoid strenuous physical activity. People with asthma may find they need to use their reliever inhaler more often. Reduce physical exertion, particularly outdoors, especially if you experience symptoms such as cough or sore throat.

2.2 DAQI Statistics

Figure 3 shows the number of sites at each daily air quality index across summer 2023 in the UK. Up until the 7th of June 2023, all sites were found between 1 and 4, with the majority being at 3. From that point, the average DAQI increases to just under 5, with 7 being the highest index reached. The average DAQI returns to 3 on the 19th of June, slowly decreasing to 2 as the year progresses through July.

The average O3 DAQI remains low up until the first of September, when it begins to climb sharply until it peaks on the 7th. Once again, sites reach a DAQI of 7, although the overall episode is shorter compared to the June peak.

Interactive Plots

Figure 3: Counts of AURN sites at each Daily Air Quality Index (DAQI) throughout summer. The black line shows the mean DAQI on each day.

Thankfully, no sites reached the “very high” DAQI band for O3 during the summer. Bournemouth, Canterbury, Cardiff Centre, High Muffles, London Bloomsbury, London Harlington, London N. Kensington, Lullington Heath, Reading New Town, Sibton, St Osyth, Telford Hollinswood, and Yarner Wood all reached the “high” band, and all but one of the rest of the sites in the AURN peaked in the “moderate” band. The one site which peaked in the “low” band, London Eltham, had poor data capture owing to power issues so was not measuring during the episodes themselves. It is possible that, had London Eltham been operational, it too would have reached the “moderate” or “high” DAQI band.

Note that the “very high” and “high” DAQI bands are distinct from the public information threshold (refer to Table 1).

Low

1

Moderate

75

High

13

Very High

0

2.3 Geographic Distribution

Figure 4 shows the evolution of the ozone episode, starting with June. By pressing the play button at the bottom-right, the daily air quality index of the AURN sites will begin to change over time. The June episode appears to start in the South West before progressing east and then north until it fully covers the majority of the UK. The September episode is much more focused on England, and appears to be the most intense in the South-West.

Interactive Maps

Figure 4: The progression of the ozone episodes in summer 2023.

3 Measured Concentrations

3.1 Air Quality Bulletins

As mentioned in Section 1.1, eight sites were named in air quality bulletins in June and September 2023 for exceeding the UK ozone public information threshold of 180 𝜇g m-3 (1 hour mean O3). These were Bournemouth (BORN), Canterbury (CANT), Lullington Heath (LH), St Osyth (OSY), London Bloomsbury (CLL2), London Harlington (HRL), Reading New Town (REA1), and Sibton (SIB). Table 3 provides an overview of some key summary statistics for these eight sites.

Table 3:

A statistical summary of ozone concentrations in May to September 2023 for the sites featured in UK-AIR ozone bulletins.

site mean min max median Max 8hr Rolling Mean DAQI WEB
value days >100 days >120
Bournemouth 67.95 2.99 191.14 67.60 178.30 26 12
91 0 0 11 91 8 6 2 4
link
St Osyth 66.91 3.14 190.89 66.61 161.05 21 13
93 0 0 6 93 11 10 1 1
link
Lullington Heath 65.89 9.78 181.41 65.53 165.96 17 10
90 0 0 17 89 6 5 4 1
link
Sibton 63.24 6.09 185.20 62.74 169.72 21 10
90 0 0 31 70 11 7 2 1
link
Canterbury 61.65 −1.06 198.10 63.06 177.50 19 13
90 0 0 25 78 7 8 2 2
link
London Bloomsbury 59.77 2.69 185.15 58.30 167.73 17 13
90 0 0 47 58 4 9 1 3
link
London Harlington 56.52 1.86 190.68 55.68 173.54 20 11
90 0 0 47 55 9 8 1 2
link
Reading New Town 51.77 0.00 183.31 50.94 166.77 15 9
90 0 2 74 31 5 6 3 1
link

The hourly ozone concentrations of these sites are shown in Figure 5 and Figure 6, both initially zoomed in on the ozone peaks which exceeded the public information threshold. The three of the four sites which exceeded the threshold in June (excluding Lullington Heath) were very close to exceeding it again on the 9th of September. Similarly, three out of the four sites which exceeded the threshold in September (excluding Sibton) also nearly exceeded it back on the 10th of June.

Tabsets

Interactive Plots

Figure 5: Hourly ozone concentrations for the four sites featured in the UK-AIR bulletins in June. The public information threshold is shown as a solid black horizontal line.

Interactive Plots

Figure 6: Hourly ozone concentrations for the four sites featured in the UK-AIR bulletins in September. The public information threshold is shown as a solid black horizontal line.

The eight sites which exceeded the public information threshold are naturally not the only sites with elevated O3 concentrations. The following sites were all within 10 𝜇g m-3 of the threshold at some point in summer 2023 (with the difference between their maximum O3 concentration and 180 𝜇g m-3 shown in parentheses); Birmingham Ladywood (0.44), Rochester Stoke (0.99), Southend-on-Sea (3.03), High Muffles (3.63), Telford Hollinswood (4.08), Cardiff Centre (4.38), London Westminster (4.43), Thurrock (7.17), Charlton Mackrell (7.92), Salford Eccles (8.07), Leamington Spa (8.82), and Portsmouth (9.92).

The full distribution of maximum hourly ozone concentrations throughout the AURN is shown in Figure 7, binned in 5  𝜇g m-3 intervals. Most sites reached maxima of roughly 160-165  𝜇g m-3, around 15-20  𝜇g m-3 from the public information threshold. Most of these high O3 concentrations happened in June.

Interactive Plots

Figure 7: The distribution of the maximum hourly O3 concentrations of AURN sites across summer 2023. The colour of the markers shows whether the maximum happened to coincide with the June or September episode. Each site can be identified by hovering over the markers. The public information threshold is shown as a solid black vertical line.

3.2 Zones & Agglomerations

The UK has been divided into zones and agglomerations for the purposes of air pollution monitoring, in accordance with EC Directive 96/62/EC. There are 16 zones. They match:

  1. The boundaries of England’s Government Offices for the Regions; and

  2. The boundaries agreed by the Scottish Executive, National Assembly for Wales, and Department of the Environment in Northern Ireland.

There are 28 agglomerations in the UK (“UK AIR Glossary” 2023). An agglomeration is defined as any urban area with a population greater than 250,000.

“UK AIR Glossary.” 2023. Defra. https://uk-air.defra.gov.uk/air-pollution/glossary.php?

Figure 8 through Figure 11 show the mean, median and interquartile range of hourly O3 concentrations in the UK by zone and agglomeration during each episode. For this purpose, the June episode is defined as lasting from the 8th to the 19th of June, and the September episode from the 1st to the 12th of September. Note that Figure 8 and Figure 10 include all sites within the zone, including sites also within an agglomeration.

Tabsets

Interactive Plots

Figure 8: Median (blue) and mean (orange) hourly ozone in different zones of the UK. The range shows the interquartile range. The size of the markers correlate to the number of sites which have been used to calculate the statistics.

Interactive Plots

Figure 9: Median (blue) and mean (orange) hourly ozone in different agglomerations of the UK. The range shows the interquartile range. The size of the markers correlate to the number of sites which have been used to calculate the statistics.

Interactive Plots

Figure 10: Median (blue) and mean (orange) hourly ozone in different zones of the UK. The range shows the interquartile range. The size of the markers correlate to the number of sites which have been used to calculate the statistics.

Interactive Plots

Figure 11: Median (blue) and mean (orange) hourly ozone in different agglomerations of the UK. The range shows the interquartile range. The size of the markers correlate to the number of sites which have been used to calculate the statistics.

4 Meteorology

4.1 Temperature Dependence

Every site in the AURN has accompanying modelled meteorological data obtained using the Weather Research & Forecasting (WRF) Model by Ricardo (Lingard et al. 2013), which can be combined with the measured meteorological data to demonstrate the temperature dependence on ozone. Figure 12 shows that daily mean O3 concentrations initially increase gradually from daily mean temperatures of 5 to 15 ℃, then more steeply from 15 to 20 ℃, and then more rapidly still from 20 ℃ onwards.

Lingard, Justin, Lorenzo Labrador, Daniel Brookes, and Andrea Fraser. 2013. “Statistical Evaluation of the Input Meteorological Data Used for the UK Air Quality Forecast (UK-AQF).” Ricardo-AEA. https://uk-air.defra.gov.uk/library/reports.php?report_id=770.

Interactive Plots

Figure 12: The relationship between daily average O3 and modelled air temperature in Summer 2023. The line shows the mean of all daily averages in the AURN during this period. The ribbon shows the interquartile range. A smooth line has also been fitted.

4.2 Stratospheric Ozone

Of particular interest to the September ozone episode is the behaviour of stratospheric ozone. Figure 13 illustrates that the September ozone roughly fell in a nadir in stratospheric ozone over the UK. The increased amount of UV radiation permitted by low stratospheric ozone will promote atmospheric chemical reactions which promote the formation of secondary tropospheric ozone (“UK Stratospheric Ozone and UV Measurements” 2023).

“UK Stratospheric Ozone and UV Measurements.” 2023. Defra. https://uk-air.defra.gov.uk/research/ozone-uv/.

Figure 13: Stratospheric ozone measured at Lerwick in 2023. The rough bounds of the two ozone episodes are marked as filled bands, and a smooth fit is shown in orange.

4.3 Air Mass Trajectories

Figure 14 and Figure 15 show data from the HYSPLIT forecast model (Stein et al. 2015). The plot illustrates where the air masses that affected the UK have travelled from during the peaks of the June and September episodes. Readers can progress through different arrival days using the control at the bottom-right of the maps.

Stein, A. F., R. R. Draxler, G. D. Rolph, B. J. B. Stunder, M. D. Cohen, and F. Ngan. 2015. “NOAA’s HYSPLIT Atmospheric Transport and Dispersion Modeling System.” Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 96 (12): 2059–77. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00110.1.

Air mass trajectories are an important factor on air pollution levels as they provide a useful indicator of the likelihood of transboundary air pollutants, many of which could be ozone precursor species. Air coming from the west is likely to be mainly clean and good pollution dispersion conditions (wind and precipitation), whilst air masses from the south and east can bring more settled conditions and also pick up background emissions from mainland Europe.

In the period shown in Figure 14, chosen as it coincides with the highest peaks in the UK DAQI in June, many of the air masses arriving in the UK have travelled over Northern Europe. These have potentially picked up ozone-producing pollutants from industrial activity, exacerbating the ozone episode experienced by the UK. Figure 15 tells a similar story, although many of the air masses arriving in Ireland and Scotland in particular appear to be arriving from Southern Europe (Spain and Portugal).

Tabsets

Interactive Maps

Figure 14: A map showing airmass arrivals at UK receptors during the June episode.

Interactive Maps

Figure 15: A map showing airmass arrivals at UK receptors during the September episode.

5 Summary

In June and September 2023 the UK experienced elevated ozone levels. Effectively all AURN sites which measure ozone reached at least a “moderate” band of daily air pollution, with 12 reaching the “high” band (Figure 3, Figure 4).

Elevated ozone can be attributed to dry and sunny weather (Figure 12), with easterly wind carrying ozone precursors over from mainland Europe (Figure 14, Figure 15). The September episode, while smaller than its June counterpart, is of particular interest. September was unseasonally hot, with an unprecedentedly protracted heatwave affecting the UK. Low stratospheric ozone (Figure 13) also led to increased UV intensity, which promotes tropospheric ozone formation.

From the 12th of September, daily O3 concentrations in the UK have fluctuated within the “low” air quality index band. The changing meteorology which coincides with the UK entering the winter months makes any further ozone episodes in 2023 unlikely.